![]() Sometimes these two calculations are the same. The forecast error calculation you just did is in H. Calculate the error percentage by dividing F2/G2.Īs shown above, the traditional forecast error calculation is in E.Size of opportunity for negative consequences.For column G, use the MAX function to find what is larger: forecast or actuals. Missing a 1,000-unit sale is much worse than missing a 2-unit sale. Calculate the divisor (which is what I call the "Size of the opportunity to mess up").Figure out the absolute size of the error.Use the ABS function to returns the absolute value of a number. Whether the forecast was high or low, the error is always a positive number, so calculate the absolute error on a product-by-product basis.To calculate forecast accuracy using my formula, you follow these steps: You take the absolute value of (Forecast-Actual) and divide by the larger of the forecasts or actuals. ![]() You need a formula for forecast accuracy that treats both of these situations as equally bad. This means the product cost could double and your profits go away. On the other side, if you forecast 0 units and an order for 400 shows up, the plant has to scramble and start buying material on the gray market. If you forecast 400 units and the order does not show up, then the manufacturing plant has 400 sets of material on hand and nowhere to send them. However, there are two kinds of problems in forecasting. Most agree that (F-A)/F is the measure of error.Strategy: A lot of forecasting professionals measure forecast error as (Forecast-Actual)/Forecast. I collect forecasts from the sales reps and attempt to turn them into a production plan for the manufacturing plant. Problem: I handle forecasting for my company.
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12/24/2023 0 Comments All depeche mode albums pack![]() Those two songs are placed at the beginning of the disc, which makes the rest of the album seem slightly anticlimactic, but there are still plenty of fine songs throughout, including “The Mercy in You,” “Condemnation,” and “In Your Room.”Įasily the band’s gloomiest album, this isn’t a terrible disc by any stretch of the imagination, but it’s not exactly a heck of a lot of fun, either. It’s obvious from the cut that the band has been listening to Nine Inch Nails lately, but it doesn’t sound like a rip-off, either, and as completely left-field as it sounds upon first listen, it’s also one of the band’s all-time greatest moments and deservedly reached the Top 40. It’s a tad spottier than Violator, and it’s noticeably darker and gloomier than its predecessor as well, so there’s nothing here quite as effervescent as “Enjoy the Silence.” Still, this is a very well-crafted album, and though the band isn’t exactly in the happiest of moods here, they haven’t stopped delivering hooks, either, so there’s plenty of memorable tunes here, especially the slithering, eerie grooves of “Walking in My Shoes” and the fiery, thrashing “I Feel You,” which opens the album with a jarring burst of feedback before easing into a surprisingly catchy, dirty, grinding blues-rock number that is easily the most rock-and-roll oriented cut the band has attempted to date. The Depeche Mode 12″ Singles Series will continue over the coming years, with plans to release boxes containing the singles from each of the band’s albums in similar deluxe audiophile-grade collector’s editions.Songs of Faith and Devotion (1993, Sire/Reprise) The artwork for the exterior of each of the box sets draws on iconography inspired by the original releases, while the vinyl sleeves themselves feature the original single artwork. Įach box set in the series contains the singles from each Depeche Mode album on audiophile-quality 12″ vinyl, with audio mastered from the original tapes. SME released Depeche Mode’s Black Celebration | The 12″ Singles and Music For The Masses | The 12″ Singles on. Sony Music Entertainment released the first two box sets in the Depeche Mode 12″ singles series– Speak & Spell | The Singles and A Broken Frame | The Singles –in August 2018 with the second batch– Construction Time Again | The 12″ Singles and Some Great Reward | The 12″ Singles –arriving in December 2018. Violator | The 12″ Singles contains the original and special edition versions of each single, including the etched vinyl version of “Enjoy The Silence,” the blue sealed edition of “World In My Eyes” plus a bonus promo 12″ of “World In My Eyes” which features exclusive rarities. Violator introduced fans to some of the most enduring songs in the DM catalog including “Enjoy The Silence,” “Policy Of Truth” and “World In My Eyes.” Violator extended Depeche Mode’s increasingly mind-blowing run of 12″ singles (with a virtually unprecedented number of remixes for “Personal Jesus” alone). Depeche Mode used their singles discography as a means of offering left field remixes and other delights for their fans. The 12″ single allowed the band to explore new sonic possibilities while the tactile physical beauty of the packaging gave Depeche Mode room to develop a sophisticated and commanding visual aesthetic. Violator | The 12″ Singles, a collector’s edition deluxe box set, contains ten 12″ vinyl discs showcasing the singles– Personal Jesus, Enjoy The Silence, Policy Of Truth, World In My Eyes –and key B-sides and mixes contemporaneous to Depeche Mode’s watershed Violator album.įrom their earliest days as a band, Depeche Mode have championed 12″ vinyl, embracing the singular power of the format and the avenues of innovation the format opened up. Official Website Sony Music Entertainment’s Depeche Mode 12″ vinyl singles project continues with the release of Violator | The 12″ Singles, out now. 12/24/2023 0 Comments Keyboard cowboy meme![]() Create the funniest emoticons to publish on social media platforms. If you want to show your creativity, then access the Lenny face text generator tool and make the emoticons of your choices. By exploring the website, you can get endless options to choose from. The website is verified and works best for Google Chrome users. Likewise, you can experiment with many characters to create unique Lenny faces and share them on different platforms. How Le Lenny Faces look like when they put on their sunglasses (⌐■_■).How does the disapproval face look like ಠ_ಠ.Some of the common examples of the faces are as follows: However, if you don't know how to create the best emojis and Lenny faces with the text and other characters, then here you get pre-loaded emoticons and emojis that you can directly share anywhere. These faces are all you need to show some creativity in your chat boxes and share your imaginative ways to create the faces. The text smileys are a new way to show what you feel. ![]() Let's tickle your imagination and use the text generator tool to create randomized faces to share on social media platforms. ![]() You get endless characters and options to share and create, which allow you to express your emotions artistically. Lenny's face is an excellent way to annoy your friends and other people. The characters you create with the tool can be easily copied anywhere, such as social media and other platforms to express emotions. This website offers amazing text generator tools such as the Lenny face generator to create unique faces, emojis, and emoticons. If you want more technical details and the best Lenny faces, you can use the Lenny face generator. You can easily add flare to the text and post on social media platforms using Lenny's faces. Likewise, you can use different characters to create Lenny's faces, copy and paste them anywhere. You can use the Latin letter inverted glottal stop for creating the nose.You can again combine the double inverted breve for the mouth.Use right and left parenthesis for creating the head.Ĝombining the double style inverted Breve for creating the eyebrows.To create the standard Lenny faces, you need to use the following letters and combinations of the letters. You can use any characters and symbols to create unique style faces and express what you feel in a whole new way. The letters are general characters present in the system's font and look like mouth, eyebrows, nose, and ears. This is how a Lenny face looks: (͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) If you don't know how to play with computer characters to create emojis and lame faces, this Lenny faces generator tool is perfect for you. With these faces, you can even express your mood. You get all Lenny faces on this platform that you copy and paste to express how notorious you are. Some people use the Lenny faces copy and paste in the chat section and other places on social media. ![]() This could be an assortment of keyboard characters that are converted into impish-looking faces. Lenny face or the Lenny Faces text are the emoticons often named Lenny's face. Before that, let us explain the Lenny Faces. Ready to explore the whole new way of messaging your friends? Let's try some amazing Lenny faces hacks and create the faces of your desire. With the help of this face generator, anyone can easily create faces without any trouble. Moreover, you get here all kinds of Lenny faces which you can easily copy and paste anywhere on the websites and social media, even in the profiles. On this website, you get a Lenny face generator that allows you to create the most expressive emoticons, expressive Lenny faces, and emojis. You can create the face of your choice and share it anywhere. Well, Lenny's face is best for messaging platforms and social media. You are looking for Lenny's face to express yourself through emoticons and emojis if you are here. 12/24/2023 0 Comments The sims 2 mac download![]() package file with the name of the project you wish to share.
![]() ![]() Short answer = no - editing is an added feature & not what these converters are designed for. Cut editing is easier technically speaking, since cuts & joins are only performed at key frames, and while it's probably possible using the ffmpeg these converters are based on, it's difficult & iffy, using scripts written for the specific task. To perform so-called "Smart Rendering", the software used must fully understand & be able to duplicate the original encoding method & settings, which often means an app will only smart render video that it's encoded itself. #HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC SOFTWARE# The video in between key frames must be generated - a key frame has a complete image, while the in between frames only record what's changed since the key frame. Generating those in between frames isn't hard, but, if you're going to cut or join video segments anywhere besides at key frames, that small portion of the videos will have to be re-encoded, so the in between frames match the new video. ![]() That's not a big deal for a video converter, since everything will be re-encoded anyway, but to smart render, that small, re-encoded patch & all video segments Must have matching encoding methods and settings.Jim C, ever tried VSDC video editor? even the free edition reveals what a toy "editor" this is! So many things you just could never do with this are freely accessible in VSDC like a timeline where you can apply effects over a timeline on selected frames use colour keying and have multiple videos on screen at once like is done on TV where presenters are presenting from home using smartphones and two or three presenters can be placed side by side and synced up. #HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC PATCH# ![]() Basically FFMPEG.EXE does ALL the editing and conversion the program is just a GUI to help generate the FFMPEG.EXE command line and monitor the child threads progress. Jim C, ever tried VSDC video editor? even the free edition reveals what a toy "editor" this is! So many things you just could never do with this are freely accessible in VSDC like a timeline where you can apply effects over a timeline on selected frames use colour keying and have multiple videos on screen at once like is done on TV where presenters are presenting from home using smartphones and two or three presenters can be placed side by side and synced up. #HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC TV# Could create a virtual choir video using just VSDC and dozens of individually shot videos with their own sound tracks. can you do that with this? Of course not it's not, it's not a serious Video editor! Even the version of FFMPEG.EXE it uses is ancient. not sure why lot's of comments go on about needing additional installed codecs since it uses ffplay_dll.dll and the FFMPEG DLLs when rendering videos not external LAVfilters or the like. It is NOT a video editor but an FFMPEG video converter GUI with rudimentary editing tabbed wizards which then are compiled into ffmpeg.exe command line parameters when you finally ask it to convert the input videos. #HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC TV#.#HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC SOFTWARE#.#HOWTO GET A FULL VERSION OF IDEALSHARE VIDEOGO 6 FOR MAC PATCH#. ![]() We had to wait a while for the food but it was worth waiting for. I rarely eat lasagne out as my own is rather good, but this was lovely. The food was excellent and was as described - homemade. Very impressed with the young man who served us, friendly, helpful, polite. We had been advised to book, even though we were meeting up at 6pm - good job too. Zfinlay said: "Visited this pub last night for the second time with 3 ex work colleagues. Out of 166 reviews, 40 per cent of customers said the venue was excellent and another 34 per cent very good. It has a 4 rating out of 5 on TripAdvisor. The Rose & Castle offers home cooked food in a casual setting. Opening hours: Every day from noon to midnight She though it was good with a nice spicy taste. I ordered the Indian style "Fish & Chips" and boy was it good. Good range of food to choose from however, not too many to confuse yourself. We ordered within 10 mins of sitting down. ![]() However, the condition was to complete in 1 hour 20 mins. It was nice for them to provide a table for 2 of us. Mrmpatel said: "Went there on the off chance without booking. A wide range of Indian & English dishes, with top notch service." Lesley H said: "Amazing food & lovely friendly staff. Out of 1,695, reviews, 54 per cent of customers said it was excellent and 23 per cent said it was very good. It has a rating of 4 out of 5 on TripAdvisor. The chefs are also award-winning and have more than 20 years of experience. It is one of the only restaurants in Coventry to offer a choice of high-quality English and Indian menus. The Farmhouse Restaurant offers fish and chips with a twist, cooking them Indian style with a kick! The Farmhouse in Coventry (Image: Google Maps) 5. (Great dragon facts! ) We had an awesome family Sunday meal out, thanks!" Great flavours and quick service time when it was packed when we were there! Staff were extremely friendly and the atmosphere was great. We all had a variety of burgers and fish meals and they were some of the best meals we've had in a while. Zach D said: "Came here with family as I'm a first year student and they were visiting for the first time. Out of 175 reviews, 72 per cent of customers rated the pub excellent, and another 21 per cent very good. It has a 4.5 rating out of 5 on TripAdvisor. It boasts plenty of traditional Tudor features, and the exposed dragon beam is worth a trip alone! Its kitchen is also completely gluten free.īuilt circa 1583, during the reign of Queen Elizabeth 1st, it was established as a public house around 1661, during the reign of Charles II. The Golden Cross is one of the oldest pubs in Coventry, and alongside its large selection of drinks it served up simple and fresh traditional food with a subtle twist. The Golden Cross pub - the city's oldest 4. You can find restrictions by going to Settings, General, Restrictions. First, it says to verify that you have not turned on any restrictions. This complaint seems to come mostly from users of the iPhone 4, who have reported problems with both the front- and rear-facing cameras on their handsets.Īpple offers a couple of suggestions for resolving the problem. If nothing else works, take your iPhone to an Apple store for repair: Its Wi-Fi antenna could be failing. Some users have reported that the iPhone’s Bluetooth capability interferes with the Wi-Fi radio, so turn off Bluetooth to see if that fixes the problem. While you’re at it, confirm that you’ve entered the right Wi-Fi password, and reset your wireless router if necessary. Then, reset the phone, find the network again, and add it back. Touch the right-pointing arrow next to the network name, and on the next screen choose Forget this Network. If your iPhone is having trouble connecting to one specific Wi-Fi network, try forcing the phone to “forget” that specific network. You also can try connecting the iPhone to iTunes and updating the software, or restoring the phone. If your iPhone is connecting to your cellular data network but not to any Wi-Fi networks, you can try resetting the phone and its network settings, as described above. The folks there may need to reset your Internet capability from their end. If that still doesn’t correct your problem, you may need to contact your cellular carrier, which is likely AT&T. Note that you may need to reenter any network passwords you had saved in the phone. Go to Settings, General, Reset, and then select Reset Network Settings. If that doesn’t solve the connection issue, try resetting the iPhone’s network settings. After that disappears, you’ll see the silver Apple icon, and your phone will start up again. Press and hold both the Home button and the Sleep/Wake button at the same time, and hold them past when you see the ‘slide to power off’ option. If your iPhone is failing to connect to the Internet via your cellular data network, try resetting the phone. You also might be able to purchase a replacement battery from a third party, but remember that cracking open the phone’s case will likely void any warranty you do have-and it may cause Apple to decline to repair the phone in the future. If your iPhone isn’t under warranty, Apple may be able to repair it for a fee. (I had, luckily, purchased the extended warranty on it.) When I told her that I had tried those to no avail, I was able to get a new iPhone, as my handset was still under warranty. ![]() This is what I had to do: I brought my iPhone 3GS to the store, and the Apple Genius recommended that I take all of the steps outlined above. If restoring your iPhone doesn’t fix it, or if you are unable to get it to charge at all, you may need to take the phone into an Apple store for repair. 12/23/2023 0 Comments Aptus san diego![]() She is going to excel in her new role and will be an incredible asset to Aptus," says Partner Ashley Walton. ![]() Her experience, relationships and skill set are a perfect fit for our team. "We are so excited to have Johanna join the Aptus family. Working out of the San Diego office, Johanna's main objective will be to strengthen Aptus' already positive reputation throughout California and to cultivate new opportunities for Aptus to partner with top reporters and clients. "I am thrilled to be joining a company that values their people and reporters as well as puts an emphasis on giving clients the best possible customer service," says Torres. Prior to that, she served as Calendar Coordinator for Veritext. Before joining Aptus, Johanna served as a Branch Manager for Michael Sullivan Court Reporting's new San Diego office. Johanna will drive new business as well as assist the sales team in delivering exceptional service to clients and reporters. With nearly two decades of experience in the legal industry, Torres is a seasoned professional who is ideally suited for the role. Johanna Torres is joining the San Diego Aptus team as a Business Development Manager. Aptus' San Diego office is conveniently located in Downtown San Diego at 600 W. Claim your 1-week free trial here.Īptus Court Reporting, California's premier deposition and court reporting service, announced today that they have hired a key representative for their expanding San Diego office. Get inside Wall Street with StreetInsider Premium. 12/23/2023 0 Comments Dolphin emulator gamecube adapter![]() Copy SDLOADER.BIN to the root directory of the SD card. ![]() NOTE: If you do not have a computer with Windows XP, NT, or 2000 installed, or you cannot get sdpatch.exe to work for some reason and you already have a means of uploading code to your GameCube (such as PSO), then you can install the boot driver to the SD card by booting sdpatch.dol to your GC and following the on-screen instructions.ģ. This is just the initial driver, and NOT the menu program, so it will never have to be changed!īe assured that the file system of the card will remain COMPLETELY in tact after you have run the sdpatch.exe (or alternatively sdpatch.dol) program! They have advanced error checking, so there really is NOT any possibility for the file system on your card to become corrupted. The boot driver will only have to be installed once, and will have to be installed on each SD card you wish to use with SD Loader. This program will install the boot driver to the SD card. Run sdpatch.exe, passing the SD reader drive letter on the command line. The h: is the drive letter of my SD Card drive. Your SD card must also be formatted with FAT16 (FAT12 and FAT32 are NOT supported.) To format the SD Card using DOS see below. Ensure that your SD reader creates a virtual drive (Example: F:\) and that you can read and write files to the card without any problems. NOTE: SDLoad works with ALL versions of the Action Replay by Datel!ġ. ![]() SD Card Reader/Writer for PC and Windows XP, NT, or 2000 (or a way to run code on GC.) Nintendo SD Adapter (or make your own ) 12/23/2023 0 Comments Sketch drawing ideas![]() No matter how circumstances have changed you know what you and your kids probably always have? A PENCIL! Maybe your kids are home everyday and you want to find fun ways to eep them learning and making! You may be teaching art from a distance, or on a cart, or with limited supplies. This past year has been one of unexpected changes and restrictions for everyone. And if you’re looking to add color to your work, we’ve identified some of the cool drawings to use, too.Įasy drawing ideas inspired by real life:ĭrawings of people, Eye drawing, Marketing colleague, An artist you admire, Your feet, Your hands, A bunch of money perhaps.Check out this huge list of pencil drawing ideas for kids! Over 40 creative pencil drawings that will inspire any kid! Why just pencil drawing ideas…. So, check out our recommendations for the best pencil sketch drawing ideas and our guide for learn to draw. Investing in great supplies will help ensure that you expand your sketching capabilities. They range from everyday objects to fantastical cityscapes-we recommend trying a variety in order to flex every bit of your drawing muscle. Well, have no fear! We’ve got a list of 120+ easy sketch drawing ideas for you to try. Like all creative endeavors, everyone goes through “blocks” where they can’t figure out what to put pencil to paper. Those who do have gone from scrawling simple figure drawing to fully-rendered portraits in seemingly no time.Īlthough the best way to improve your drawing is to just get started, figuring out what to sketch can be challenging. It’s truly incredible the progress that you can make by dedicating time to this pursuit. For proof, just check out what a few years of drawing practice can do. Learning the basics and repeating them over and over again is the only way to improve. Practice is a vital part of perfecting your drawing skills. There are no limits in art and anything that looks good is applauded. It might not look easy but once you decide which road to go for, you’ll see how everything becomes an easy-playful task.Īfter mastering the art of drawing, try to create your own distinctive style or cartoon drawing. This is the ways to make a landscape realistic.Įven though it’s hard too match colors, you will definitely succeeded in choosing the right ones. If it where any other way, we wouldn’t be able to perceive distance and make the difference between two objects miles apart from each other. We perceive it through a process that altera shapes and colors known as perspective. The world around us is different from the image that our brain creates. Some type of drawings, especially architectural ones require just enough information to express a new idea, a place or a landscape. An artist might feel the need to challenge his imagination to create something new and learn to draw. A camera can express reality with perfect accuracy. Sometimes drawings can be support techniques and illustrations over an image. Don’t hesitate and give it a try yourself! All you need is a sheet of paper and a pen or you can download some drawing apps. But, out of all the arts, drawing is perhaps the most accessible. Start with the basics of how to draw, you`ll find inspiring cool things to draw all over, epic easy sketch drawing ideas worth a shot and here is where our selection comes in! Inside the app numerous free sketch drawing ideas for beginners have surfaced, all meant to encourage you to take on artistic endeavors.ĭrawing is perhaps the best way to communicate our thoughts and imagination, along with music, sculpture or dancing. Drawing or sketching are activities that start with simple concepts that are easy to grasp and after a few attempts things will start to feel natural. Those who have some experience can go a step further, buy some brushes, a palette and colors and embrace painting. ![]() One of the most accessible and creative act is drawing though, unlike playing an instrument or skying which presume a certain investment and opportunity for exercising your hobby, drawing only requires a blank sheet of paper and a pencil, for beginners at least. There are many hobbies one can take up to fill up spare time, some go fishing or hiking whilst others embrace the arts, in the form of singing, dancing, writing or randomly building awesome wooden plane models. |
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